causes of nuclear proliferation

0000019535 00000 n ?��E�\�ys;�҉�>�~������yVF���>bZE��\dѿn ��E-�~�;h�����������"�K=[�����\�I�Do�ޜ�+����{�_ί��*�:7��]� &�E��M#"zQF��dAE�禤������i�+f�F��߷ ��w�z���ԢLS%���YiV.�"�p�ott�Ёnp��*����BN�����Ҩſ���[��B�� Although many different ideas have been born from . Nuclear Logics examines why some states seek nuclear weapons while others renounce them. Looking closely at nine cases in East Asia and the Middle East, Etel Solingen finds two distinct regional patterns. 0000002536 00000 n x�b```a``c`e`жgd@ A�+st 2�J��r�Y؜�cG����$˛+�(|y��G�5����K��L�00̄�N����\;��Cϲm��[RM7��Q�\�[�P�7'{>ǩ��n��R�͢H�A� �G�P��P������W�7�af���?�0�d>ˆg���*,�p�|��ϗA�%�ff``���� t�H3q)@� �˥� 3 this effort, the results can be mostly grouped into three theoretical models— . Specifically, it investigates the causes of war, nuclear proliferation, and democratization, and has appeared in such journals as the American Political Science Review, International Organization, International Security, and the Journal of Conflict Resolution. Security Studies: Vol. The North Korea nuclear crisis has taught us at least four lessons: 1. Nuclear Proliferation Risks, New and Old. Bilag: The Non Proliferation Treaty, (NPT), optryk af tekst i traktat om ikke-spredning af kernevåben, side 307-312. Nuclear Alarmism: Proliferation and Terrorism. Causes of Nuclear Proliferation Two theoretical perspectives compete to explain the causes of nuclear proliferation. Nuclear Politics: The Strategic Causes of Proliferation (Cambridge Studies in International Relations, Series Number 142) 86 24 wXM;��[A���םOX�80ծ ��Deq �D 0000001465 00000 n 0000004424 00000 n Much work has been done in the past on understanding the root causes of nuclear proliferation. Nuclear weapons may simultaneously cause their owners to become more influential, more successful in the wars they choose to fight, and to have less intense conflicts, when these conflicts occur. 0000039493 00000 n This book investigates what is driving Iran's nuclear weapons programme in a less-hostile regional environment, using a theory of protracted conflicts to explicate proliferation. 0000017109 00000 n 0000004304 00000 n Causes of Nuclear Proliferation Two theoretical perspectives compete to explain the causes of nuclear proliferation. 0000066420 00000 n 0000009789 00000 n eric schmitt, the new york times august 30, 1999, section: section a; page 1; headline: democrats ready for fight to save test ban treaty // lnu-acs In his new book, Michael Cohen argues that that nuclear proliferation is dangerous when leaders learn that nuclear coercion is safe and then becomes safe when leaders learn that it is dangerous. Underground facilities are used extensively by many nations to conceal and protect strategic military functions and weapons' stockpiles. Causes of Disinvestment From the Nuclear Order. For advocates of technological pull in the nuclear weapons context see Hans Bethe, 'The Technological Imperative', The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (August 1985): 34-56. Nuclear politics: The strategic causes of proliferation. Oct 15, 1962 - Oct 28, 1962. This allows IOs to intervene between the causes of nuclear proliferation and its effects. <<021816BF3FD2A84AA954DF33CF7572BD>]>> Watch video on YouTube. endstream endobj 92 0 obj<>stream �2k�:��!�6f�8~t�soR�xg��S4@��(��0��f3��DUO��X�:������yU�s�O�BI:�p�����E8D�t�PW������Z����F�%��ȳcHb4{Nפ������w���Y�Tr����-�pեS�s���C�"9�W��f �lw�ā���,~��j_)K5���|iS�2C�z��5]l6�}'ބ��+�#� �$�� Focusing explicitly on the strategic interaction between the potential proliferator and its allies and adversaries, the book accounts for patterns of proliferation that no other approach has been able to explain. 0000050149 00000 n 0000008287 00000 n Nuclear weapons are the most destructive, inhumane and indiscriminate weapons ever created. Found insideFinally, it addresses the latent capability to produce nuclear weapons that would inevitably exist after abolition, and asks whether this is a barrier to disarmament, or whether it can be managed to meet the security needs of a world newly ... Alarmism about nuclear weapons is common coin in the foreign policy establishment. The term is also used to refer to the possible acquisition of nuclear weapons by terrorist organizations or other armed groups.. During World War II the prospect of a nuclear-armed Nazi Germany led the United States to intensify its efforts to . Of all the Trump administration's global impacts, one of the most worrying is a sudden increase in the risk of nuclear proliferation among American allies, many of whom are considering a nuclear . %PDF-1.6 %���� Explaining why states pursue or acquire nuclear weapons is a major concern for scholars of international politics—one with broad implications for nonproliferation and counterproliferation policy. The sixth section outlines alternative theories about the potential impact of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) on nuclear weapons programs decisions. CONTROLLING THE proliferation of nuclear weapons is one of the major challenges we face as a global society. Most argue that nuclear proliferation will destabilize the world and increase the risk of nuclear war. Nuclear Proliferation and the NPT by Ilkka Pastinen Upon its conclusion in 1968, the Treaty on the Non-Proliteration of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) was acclaimed as the most important international agreement in the field of disarmament since the nuclear age began and a major success for the cause of peace. Using extreme bounds analysis, cross-validation, and random forests, I examine 31 variables that the extant literature . endstream endobj 87 0 obj<> endobj 88 0 obj<>/Encoding<>>>>> endobj 89 0 obj<> endobj 90 0 obj<>/Font<>/ProcSet[/PDF/Text/ImageB]>> endobj 91 0 obj<>stream Nuclear Politics: The Strategic Causes of Proliferation (Cambridge Studies in International Relations, Series Number 142) [Debs, Alexandre, Monteiro, Nuno P.] on Amazon.com. 12 october 2004. KrQL����� [�� Since their advent in the 1940s, nuclear weapons have been labeled the absolute weapon, the most naked manifestation of military power in the world, or "the heart, the inner sanctum, of states' security dilemmas" (Solingen, 2007, p. 263). This book broadens our understanding of how leaders and states behave when they acquire nuclear weapons and is important reading for scholars and students of international relations, security studies, and political psychology. This two-volume set is the output from an extensive research project focused on developing the first forecasting model for nuclear proliferation. As a region of burgeoning economic and political importance, South Asia offers a crucial test of proliferation's effects on the crisis behaviour of newly nuclear states. causes of nuclear weapons proliferation. 4, No. George Perkovich, Ken Olivier and Angela Nomellini Chair and Vice President for Studies overseeing the Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Explaining why states pursue or acquire nuclear weapons is a major concern for scholars of international politics—one with broad implications for nonproliferation and counterproliferation policy. The first wave focused primarily on security explanations of proliferation, arguing a state's willingness to nuclearize results from its need to respond to threats to its survival. This book offers valuable insights into the causes and consequences of nuclear proliferation. Nuclear weapons are unlike all other weapons in both the size of their destruction and their special, permanent, genetically . The realist (or neo-realist) perspective contends that states pursue nuclear weapons to offset international security threats.2 At a fundamental level, all nuclear bomb development Comparative case studies and statistical studies have improved our understanding of the diversity of motives for weapons development and restraints, but serious gaps in our knowledge remain. Abstract. Nuclear proliferation is the spread of nuclear weapons, fissionable material, and weapons-applicable nuclear technology and information to nations not recognized as "Nuclear Weapon States" by the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, commonly known as the Non-Proliferation Treaty or NPT.Proliferation has been opposed by many nations with and without nuclear weapons, as . Paradoxically, nuclear proliferation is dangerous when leaders believe nuclear assertion to be safe—and nuclear weapons become safe when leaders learn that nuclear assertion is dangerous. A quarter of a century later, however, we still possess no theory of unipolarity. Theory of Unipolar Politics provides one. Dr Nuno P. Monteiro answers three of the most important questions about the workings of a unipolar world. early security-based arguments on the causes of proliferation.4 Clearly, the view that "security is the only necessary and sufficient cause of nuclear proliferation" is not borne out by the history of the nuclear age.5 This limitation of existing security theories has exposed them to criticism on several fronts. The Center for International Security and Cooperation is a center of the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies. 0000000016 00000 n 3-4, pp. Initially, a bur 0000008471 00000 n 0000006961 00000 n e��5�w{ �r��Y�^Lu��:��%g�3�4g�cSUq��K2R���#��S)�ؔ��d{�/.I�@�u�fM�M%x�P��٥1� Fact Sheet: Nuclear Proliferation Risks in Nuclear Energy Programs Updated March 2021 A major concern about the spread of peaceful nuclear energy programs is the possibility that facilities constructed for use in a nuclear energy program could eventually be used to produce nuclear weapons. 463-519. trailer 0 The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is an international treaty on nuclear weapons based on three principles: disarmament, non-proliferation and peaceful use of nuclear energy.. 0000005180 00000 n In this book, leading experts analyze the tradeoffs associated with nuclear energy and put the nuclear renaissance in historical context, evaluating both the causes and the strategic effects of nuclear energy development. The strategies of inhibition make sense of puzzles that neither containment nor openness strategies can explain, while providing critical insights into post-World War II history, theory, the causes of nuclear proliferation, and debates over the past, present, and future trajectory of U.S. grand strategy. The most devastating, cruel and retaliatory weapons ever produced are nuclear weapons. ADVERTISEMENTS: The fourteen impact of nuclear weapons on international relations: 1. 2 Effects of Nuclear Weapons Proliferation The proliferation of nuclear weapons should be prohibited among the developed countries due to the massive destruction they can cause. The Treaty is regarded as the cornerstone of the global nuclear non-proliferation regime and an essential foundation for the pursuit of nuclear disarmament. Debs received a Rhodes scholarship in 2000 and was a Stanton Nuclear Security Junior . Unlike other well-known nuclear accidents, this one occurred at a nuclear weapons facility instead of an energy plant, so the Soviet government tried to cover it up. 192-212. Hagerty analyzes how India and Pakistan interacted in diplomatic and military crises before their 1998 nuclear tests. early security-based arguments on the causes of proliferation.4 Clearly, the view that "security is the only necessary and sufficient cause of nuclear proliferation" is not borne out by the history of the nuclear age.5 This limitation of existing security theories has exposed them to criticism on several fronts. Nuclear proliferation is part politics, part science and technology. 0000003417 00000 n The first camp takes the realist view that states acquire nuclear weapons because their security demands it. 0 4 . �fW��}bL��/��S�0X'���(�������:Z{c�ad9R���a,)jdz_��@6����1��� 2~X�o�b�>-�B����k�a̵8J���#/C4��7���I�Tg�%ګAxL��w���jԎH Gmuw Nuclear myths and the causes of nuclear proliferation. The first section briefly presents what we know about which states developed nuclear weapons and which states started but abandoned weapons development programs. '$�`7J}�A��`�������73o��3R �����,a�K �WqtWV�Ɵvѷ8��F"N��o��l##)}p���k����s÷���s5�6���'t�����o��6N�i�����,ǺX.����W�n[n�&;��`Wݯ?�g8˄y�ʪ�9K����:8yݯ"a�t����|O����������U N/M�Z��f�)�؅ ��s�s�pm45 �8~ݾ���%��J#z����.��S}Z0��|��P������3@�� ĸ�׌���@"�wu�=� In fact, the disaster was not widely known about until an exiled Soviet scientist reported on it in 1976. Scott D. Sagan notes that the question of why states seek to build nuclear weapons has scarcely been examined, although it is crucial to efforts at preventing proliferation. Though many international relations theorists have speculated that the spread of nuclear weapons may diminish the frequency - if not the severity - of military conflict among states, there are five reasons to expect that increased proliferation will increase the likelihood that nuclear weapons will be employed for coercive or destructive purposes. 2. "The Strategic Logic of Nuclear Proliferation," International Security, Vol. Given that public health is "what we, as a society, do collectively to ensure the conditions in which people can be healthy,"1 (p189) controlling the proliferation of nuclear weapons—and ultimately abolishing them—must be a major global health priority. 0000007846 00000 n Thus, T(4), like E(2), causes phosphorylation by MAPK of nuclear ERalpha at serine-118 in MCF-7 cells and promotes cell proliferation through the ER by a MAPK-dependent pathway. The activities of Dr. A.Q. Khan and his network constitute the most severe loss of control over nuclear technology in modern times. YouTube. 0000001465 00000 n %%EOF Nuclear proliferation is the spread of nuclear weapons, fissionable material, and weapons-applicable nuclear technology and information to nations not recognized as "Nuclear Weapon States" by the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, commonly known as the Non-Proliferation Treaty or NPT.Proliferation has been opposed by many nations with and without nuclear weapons, as . 'Nuclear Politics marks an important step forward in our understanding of nuclear proliferation. ��3�(^P�]I���&�ϖŵ*�Pvq��Й*��"%��Q � @ʼ �g�㥄�o!�Vr�E�Og*:dsO�!9�=j>X�Й��[(����&2�6�L�i��0������EP� E��ä��� ����� L����cc�� ��fR���*Ad�"jiP 0!�0��i�b66���Lg �� ((�C�P�+All``qqK� L5@S lAA�8��� �MZ2�sg`���ŁXl��[B�W��&F�c 14 0000008643 00000 n The new political science literature on nuclear pro-liferation and nonproliferation should help us understand the crucial questions about states' . Nuclear weapons are considered to be some of the world's most dangerous armaments. �Q:���u��h�+[c:�����-N��lZB�Lk�P.�JhW����P��JA��պ��>�E, �)p㺟S�O�+���rT����m�bj�U��.J8^����) �F”i=��TX�仫��`��#�w��8�9�[���9[�N��W��hg'(��Z\8��6qB>����Ofz��،�2�UDA55Ŧ��]�4��,8=Z� �;��yG�Ų�e�f�Q� J�'U����J��͏� � ���#h�Ѓ(K)'H�)�g�]9�"�����4�t0��x�p%��&�P(���>��aH4����E��P�(5��xs���g�eJϽ8P�o��i|�z�B�Ƕ�$�,h^�`7. The first section briefly presents what we know about which states developed nuclear weapons and which states started but abandoned weapons development programs. Debs received a Rhodes scholarship in 2000 and was a Stanton Nuclear Security Junior . 0000012918 00000 n The first section briefly presents what we know about which . 0000001162 00000 n Launch-on-warning increases the danger that accidents could escalate into nuclear violence. Fifth, surreptitious attempts may be made by third parties to instigate nuclear war between other states. In The proliferation puzzle: Why nuclear weapons spread (and what results), edited by Z. S. Davis and B. Frankel. aff/ctbt: impact — lack of ctbt causes nuclear proliferation. But thirty-six countries with nuclear power plants produce at least enough plutonium for forty nuclear weapons per year from each such plant. The value of IOs is directly related to the risk of biased collection and reporting of proliferation information and the risk "sovereignty costs " from revealing valuable commercial or national security information. 86 0 obj <> endobj I highlight the problems that result from uncertainty about the accuracy and completeness of the data. 0000004297 00000 n �C�9�P��'� "�b�i�?�dؐ}�D���C�F�4m�,L� iH��L |�rʍP.ϑPȗ1��^�#|�a������t6�\+�sX�K�Ă!K�����~�t��9X�OT�o��4���^*��|�=g��$���0�����8�3��|��U8~�Q� Some nations are using this process to generate electricity for their countries. This critical review of the new political science literature on the causes of nuclear weapons proliferation consists of seven parts. 0000000776 00000 n 0000001754 00000 n The report notes that in the near term nuclear weapons will remain a fundamental element of U.S. national security. This book presents an analytical account of the causes and dangerous consequences of nuclear proliferation in South Asia. 0000001596 00000 n Copyright Complaints, "The Causes of Nuclear Weapons Proliferation" by Scott D. Sagan, Center for International Security and Cooperation, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies. I highlight the problems that result from uncertainty about the accuracy and 0000018148 00000 n Found insideFinally, the book examines the utility of models, games, and simulations as decision aids in improving the naval forces' understanding of situations in which deterrence must be used and in improving the potential success of deterrence ... By Wolfgang K. H. Panofsky. Costly signals that do not cause fear of imminent nuclear escalation were insufficient to moderate new nuclear power aggression. Google Scholar This dissertation is about nuclear weapons proliferation by states and threat of nuclear terrorism arising from non-state actors. This T(4) effect was blocked by either PD 98059 or ICI 182,780, an ER antagonist. Analysts of international politics have debated heatedly over the likely consequences of the spread of nuclear weapons. 0000001402 00000 n emerging nuclear threats is the most common and most parsimonious expla-nation for nuclear weapons proliferation.5 George Shultz once nicely summa-rized the argument: "Proliferation begets proliferation."6 Every time one state develops nuclear weapons to balance against its main rival, it also creates a 4. Abstract: This critical review of the new political science literature on the causes of nuclear weapons proliferation consists of four parts. This book will be invaluable to policymakers and concerned citizens who are frustrated with the frequent misjudgments of states' nuclear ambitions, and to scholars who seek a better understanding of how leaders make big foreign policy ... 0000002384 00000 n 7-51. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. I highlight the problems that result from uncertainty about the accuracy and completeness of the data . (1995). 'p�M�/���y[�U� ������&we^�*����`���S�uYm���7���"������6��~m� Since 2002, North Korea has renewed its interests in nuclear activities, against the wishes of the United States. 0000000816 00000 n 0000001084 00000 n 0000066604 00000 n >l�U�l'�I���v�0B�*C>��j��p`���Þ뀉o���-lP'��? However, empirical research on the causes of proliferation shows the importance of both security and economic factors in predicting proliferation (Singh and Way 2004; Gartzke and Jo 2007). 0000007650 00000 n Nuclear proliferation can be released instantly through a process called radioactive decay. Discussions about nuclear proliferation have tended to center on controlling the spread of weapons using measures reminiscent of our war on drugs: cutting off supplies rather than treating the root causes of addiction. <<6B645F14943A5D43A9B475AED2D99B5A>]>> A PDF version of this book is available for free in open access via www.tandfebooks.com as well as the OAPEN Library platform, www.oapen.org. During the past decade, the United States and Russia have joined in a number of efforts to reduce the danger posed by the enormous quantity of weapons-usable material withdrawn from nuclear weapons. This volume examines the causes and consequences of nuclear postures and nonproliferation policies. x�b```�|V�� cc`a�XȀ>�300b�Ƭİ�1�9�ɛy*�S�|�%�� ��͘e�&��cig��xn�{yγ�gb��$#�#�ZtF��.��ך�\6�5^���xK��B�/�:�;@��c-�/�`A���r Initially, the U.S. monopoly over the atomic weapons definitely made it the most powerful nation in the world. Nuclear weapons may simultaneously cause their owners to become more influential, more successful in the wars they choose to fight, and to have less intense conflicts, when these conflicts occur. This volume examines the causes and consequences of nuclear postures and nonproliferation policies. Security Studies: Vol. The effect of nuclear weapons on the behaviour of newly nuclear states, and the potential for future international crises, are of particular concern. Introduction . Found insideOriginally published in 1993, this volume was unique in its scope and approach: Unlike most literature on nuclear weapons proliferation at the time, the essays in this volume offer theoretical discussions and suggest testable hypotheses ... 0000048228 00000 n 0000015010 00000 n Nuclear proliferation, the spread of nuclear weapons, nuclear weapons technology, or fissile material to countries that do not already possess them. KEYWORDS: Causes of nuclear proliferation; Realism; Idealism There are two broad theoretical camps on the question of the causes of nuclear proliferation. This book discusses the decision to use the atomic bomb. Libraries and scholars will find it a necessary adjunct to their other studies by Pulitzer-Prize author Herbert Feis on World War II. Originally published in 1966. The treaty, which consists of 11 articles, prohibits that the "non-nuclear" signatory states acquire such weapons and the "nuclear" states transfer nuclear weapons or other explosive nuclear devices to any other . Categorized as weapons of mass destruction (WMDs), they have the capability of leveling cities, killing millions, and destroying the environment for generations to come due to the extreme heat, blast wave, and. Nuclear proliferation, the spread of nuclear weapons, nuclear weapons technology, or fissile material to countries that do not already possess them. 116 0 obj <>stream To accomplish this task, we will review the literature on the causes of nuclear proliferation, assess the ability of the U.S. to credibly extended deterrence without nuclear weapons through an analysis of the required capabilities to protect American allies, and interview relevant policy-makers in allied countries. endstream endobj 92 0 obj <> endobj 93 0 obj <> endobj 94 0 obj <>/Font<>/ProcSet[/PDF/Text/ImageB]/ExtGState<>>> endobj 95 0 obj <> endobj 96 0 obj <> endobj 97 0 obj <> endobj 98 0 obj <> endobj 99 0 obj <> endobj 100 0 obj <> endobj 101 0 obj <> endobj 102 0 obj <>stream It is also caused to some degree by the fact that it is difficult to prevent. Absent this theory, there would be little reason to conclude that changes in US nuclear force structure and . Intuitively, security is the most important factor driving nuclear acquisition. He challenges the traditional realist assumption, accepted uncritically by many scholars and policymakers, that states seek to acquire or develop nuclear weapons primarily for military and strategic A single nuclear bomb detonated over a large city could kill millions of people. 91 26 0000003927 00000 n Portland, OR: Frank Cass. press release. H�lW�r�8}�W�ڲ�u�q���d���lvkf`���H /v���/�>ݠ${\��A�������>�n���h�Y�g?//^�S35[�/T�(M��b���e�HM�Ͳ4]�Đ��"�ٷ�W�ܩ٦��� 0000004111 00000 n 2 (Fall 2014), pp. The higher the threat level facing a country, the more likely it is to . Nuclear Proliferation and the NPT by Ilkka Pastinen Upon its conclusion in 1968, the Treaty on the Non-Proliteration of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) was acclaimed as the most important international agreement in the field of disarmament since the nuclear age began and a major success for the cause of peace. The second and third sections review the literature on the spread of the technical capability to develop nuclear weapons. These essays offer conceptual, historical, and analytical perspectives on one of the most significant challenges to global security in the twenty-first century: controlling nuclear proliferation. This is significant because understanding the causes of nonproliferation is important to understanding how nonproliferation in the future might change with different variables, such as defections from the nuclear nonproliferation treaty, further nuclear proliferation, or the expiration of the New START treaty. 0000010828 00000 n This book by Debs and Monteiro - a voluminous expansion of their 2014 article - argues that accounting for the security goals of a potential proliferator's allies and enemies will offer insight into nuclear proliferation dynamics. 0000003744 00000 n %%EOF For an excellent summary of technology as a cause of proliferation see Peter Lavoy 'Nuclear Myths and the Causes of Nuclear Proliferation', 194-5. This critical review of the new political science literature on the causes of nuclear weapons proliferation consists of seven parts. The realist (or neo-realist) perspective contends that states pursue nuclear weapons to offset international security threats.2 At a fundamental level, all nuclear bomb development The body of theory regarding the causes of nuclear proliferation has evolved in three waves. This article examines whether the quantitative literature on the causes of nuclear proliferation successfully identifies variables that explain existing patterns of proliferation or improve our ability to predict proliferation. Nuclear deterrence does not work. The Treaty is regarded as the cornerstone of the global nuclear non-proliferation regime and an essential foundation for the pursuit of nuclear disarmament. 0000013960 00000 n The term is also used to refer to the possible acquisition of nuclear weapons by terrorist organizations or other armed groups.. During World War II the prospect of a nuclear-armed Nazi Germany led the United States to intensify its efforts to . The treaty, which consists of 11 articles, prohibits that the "non-nuclear" signatory states acquire such weapons and the "nuclear" states transfer nuclear weapons or other explosive nuclear devices to any other . Intuitively, security is the most important factor driving nu-clear acquisition.2 Yet existing security theories of proliferation, while account- ing for why some states with grave security concerns have developed nuclear xref 'tension between nuclear legality and nuclear reality' cause of crisis in nuclear non-proliferation regime, disarmament committee told. Nuclear proliferation is generally caused by the fact that countries want to be secure and to be powerful. 0000016056 00000 n The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is an international treaty on nuclear weapons based on three principles: disarmament, non-proliferation and peaceful use of nuclear energy.. 0000001644 00000 n Google Scholar | Crossref Nuclear Myths and the Causes of Nuclear Proliferation. 1 What role do security threats play in driving states to acquire nuclear weapons? Specifically, it assumes that one of the principal reasons other nations pursue or maintain nuclear weapons is to counter the US nuclear arsenal. Nuclear weapons can cause war. This critical review of the new political science literature on the causes of nuclear weapons proliferation consists of seven parts. The intensification of the Iranian and North Korean nuclear crises causes concern that deteriorating security conditions in the Middle East and Northeast Asia will lead additional countries to seek nuclear weapons. Scott Douglas Sagan (born 1955) is the Caroline S.G. Munro Professor of Political Science at Stanford University and Senior Fellow at Stanford's Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC). 2 Yet existing security theories of proliferation, while accounting for why some states with grave security concerns have developed nuclear weapons, are unable to explain why others have not. ͗���\�:-���ͯ���{|3���k���o���"�ڵ��0���}goY&�O�V(m7l�Q���m�D Should help us understand the crucial questions about the relationship between the development civilian... United states, seek to develop policies that address the root causes nuclear. Seven parts the output from an extensive research project focused on developing the first section briefly presents we. 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